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Partidos Semifinales ATP Open de Australia

Con la derrota hoy de un lesionadísimo Nadal, ya tenemos los partidos de las semifinales ATP del Open de Australia 2011. La primera de ellas enfrentará a Roger Federer y a Novak Djokovic, un partidazo, y la segunda al español David Ferrer contra el escocés Murray.

semis open australia

Últimos comentarios

por Edu Ollero el Jue, 27/01/2011 - 17:44 #

El partido entre Murray y

El partido entre Murray y Ferrer parece, por las cuotas, bastante decantado para el lado del escocés, lo que podría inclinar a pensar que la alta cuota por Ferrer podría tener value y ser tradeable. David se ha cargado a Nadal (lesionado) y está en semis del Open de Australia, además el h2h es favorable al de Javea por 3-2. El problema es que Murray está en un estado de forma impresionante y que las 3 victorias de Ferrer fueron sobre tierra, la peor superficie de Andy, mientras que las 2 veces que han jugado en pista dura la victoria ha sido para el escocés sin siquiera perder un set.

Así, mi opinión es que Murray va a ganar este partido y va a salir a por todas desde el comienzo, por lo que si mi planteamiento es correcto, ese 4.40 de Ferrer no va a bajar de ahí en ningún momento del partido.

por carlinhoscrack el Vie, 28/01/2011 - 12:07 #

Pues hubiera sido un buen

Pues hubiera sido un buen trading...se ve que David ha cogido moral al derrotar a Nadal

por Edu Ollero el Vie, 28/01/2011 - 14:02 #

Sí, lei mal el partido,

Sí, lei mal el partido, pensaba que Ferrer iba a estar bastante peor de lo que ha estado en los 2 primeros sets.

La cuota de Ferrer ha llegado a bajar hasta el 1.52, por lo que como bien dices, se podría haber completado una gran trading si se hubiera confiado en Ferrer de inicio.

Autor

Escrito por Edu Ollero el 26/01/2011 - 17:39

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